{"as_of":1785237927,"buckets":[{"avg_b":null,"avg_realized_r":4.0558,"hi":0.6,"lo":0.5,"n":2,"p_hat":1.0,"p_lower":0.3424,"p_upper":1.0,"status":"insufficient","sufficient":false,"wins":2},{"avg_b":null,"avg_realized_r":-1.0,"hi":0.7,"lo":0.6,"n":2,"p_hat":0.0,"p_lower":0.0,"p_upper":0.6576,"status":"insufficient","sufficient":false,"wins":0},{"avg_b":null,"avg_realized_r":-0.3468,"hi":0.8,"lo":0.7,"n":30,"p_hat":0.0,"p_lower":0.0,"p_upper":0.1135,"status":"insufficient","sufficient":false,"wins":0},{"avg_b":null,"avg_realized_r":1.9744,"hi":0.9,"lo":0.8,"n":5,"p_hat":0.0,"p_lower":0.0,"p_upper":0.4345,"status":"insufficient","sufficient":false,"wins":0},{"avg_b":null,"avg_realized_r":null,"hi":1.0,"lo":0.9,"n":0,"p_hat":null,"p_lower":null,"p_upper":null,"status":"insufficient","sufficient":false,"wins":0}],"calibration_min":50,"decay":"none","note":"Size off p_lower, never p_hat. Buckets with status='insufficient' should disable Kelly/EV outputs and show 'Hypothetical only'.","success":true,"window_days":90}